Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.030807 0.033122 0.035540 0.038258 0.041233 0.044394 0.048013
2025-06-01 0.026685 0.029918 0.033473 0.037685 0.042558 0.048040 0.054704
2025-06-08 0.023781 0.027499 0.031742 0.036975 0.043291 0.050721 0.060195
2025-06-15 0.021782 0.025819 0.030569 0.036619 0.044184 0.053422 0.065691
2025-06-22 0.020208 0.024455 0.029584 0.036298 0.044955 0.055875 0.070911
2025-06-29 0.018743 0.023086 0.028446 0.035633 0.045146 0.057495 0.075050
2025-07-06 0.017941 0.022473 0.028184 0.036019 0.046661 0.060869 0.081718
2025-07-13 0.017087 0.021724 0.027676 0.036012 0.047599 0.063469 0.087449
2025-07-20 0.016492 0.021266 0.027505 0.036417 0.049087 0.066882 0.094558
2025-07-27 0.015733 0.020541 0.026922 0.036198 0.049652 0.068976 0.099827
2025-08-03 0.015040 0.019863 0.026358 0.035954 0.050138 0.070949 0.105016
2025-08-10 0.014417 0.019246 0.025839 0.035733 0.050621 0.072916 0.110306
2025-08-17 0.013872 0.018719 0.025426 0.035648 0.051311 0.075256 0.116419
2025-08-24 0.013241 0.018039 0.024760 0.035147 0.051325 0.076530 0.120853
2025-08-31 0.012615 0.017337 0.024027 0.034500 0.051062 0.077323 0.124504
2025-09-07 0.012125 0.016811 0.023526 0.034174 0.051276 0.078884 0.129590
2025-09-14 0.011678 0.016328 0.023064 0.033879 0.051512 0.080479 0.134839
2025-09-21 0.011177 0.015744 0.022423 0.033267 0.051184 0.081084 0.138301
2025-09-28 0.010956 0.015570 0.022394 0.033622 0.052473 0.084535 0.147362
2025-10-05 0.010658 0.015266 0.022151 0.033616 0.053143 0.086932 0.154595
2025-10-12 0.010468 0.015119 0.022142 0.033988 0.054476 0.090589 0.164621
2025-10-19 0.010154 0.014769 0.021800 0.033787 0.054791 0.092401 0.171072
2025-10-26 0.009853 0.014426 0.021455 0.033562 0.055047 0.094112 0.177450